Earnings Compass Blog
Investment strategy, macro commentary, and earnings-season insights — updated daily.
New post every day on the most topical themes from the past 24 hours. For evergreen explainers see our guides.
Weekend Briefing: CPI Cools, Banks Beat, Semis Enter Bear Market
Week of July 13–17, 2026: June CPI drops to 3.5%, JPM and WFC crush estimates, but semiconductors (SOX) enter a bear market on AI capex fears. Full recap plus the week ahead — Alphabet, Tesla, Intel earnings July 20–24.
Read post →SpaceX Stock (SPCX) Just Broke Its IPO Price: Dip or Danger Before August Earnings?
SpaceX (SPCX) has slipped below its $135 IPO price a month after its record debut. Here's what's driving the drop, key lock-up dates, and what to watch into the first Q2 2026 earnings report.
Read post →Netflix Q2 2026 Earnings Preview: Will NFLX Finally Break Its Post-Earnings Selloff Streak?
Netflix (NFLX) reports Q2 2026 earnings Thursday, July 16 after the close. EPS ~$0.79, revenue ~$12.57B, ad revenue on pace to double. Full preview: consensus, implied move, and what to watch after April's -10% reaction.
Read post →Weekend Briefing: Dow Tops 53,000, Iran Ceasefire Cracks, Q2 Earnings Season Starts Monday
Week of July 6–10, 2026: Dow hits 53,000 for the first time, Meta jumps ~15% on AI cost efficiency, SK Hynix IPO debuts +14%, Iran ceasefire cracks. Full preview of Q2 bank earnings, Netflix, and June CPI — all landing in one week.
Read post →Delta Q2 2026 Earnings: What DAL's Beat Signals for the Season
Delta (DAL) kicked off Q2 2026 earnings season with a beat: adjusted EPS $1.56 vs $1.48, revenue $17.7B, premium cabin now bigger than main cabin. What it signals for airlines, banks, and consumer demand.
Read post →SMCI Stock: Dead and Buried, or Set Up for a Comeback Into August Earnings?
Super Micro (SMCI) is down 35–38% on the Taiwan probe, a $7B raise, and a chip-sector wobble. Here's what's actually broken, what isn't, and what to watch at the Aug 4 print.
Read post →Weekend Briefing: Dow Hits Records, Tech Wobbles, and Q2 Earnings Season Loads (June 29 – July 4, 2026)
A holiday-shortened Great Rotation week — Dow all-time highs, semis rolled over, weak June jobs, and what to watch as real Q2 earnings season begins.
Read post →June 2026 Jobs Report Preview: Nonfarm Payrolls Land Thursday Ahead of Holiday Close
The June nonfarm payrolls report drops Thursday, July 2 at 8:30 a.m. ET — a day early because of Independence Day. Consensus, scenarios, sector reactions, and how to trade the print into a shortened, thinly-traded holiday session.
Read post →Energy & Utilities Earnings July 2026: XOM, DUK, NEE Dates & What to Watch
Complete July 2026 energy and utilities earnings calendar with dates and trader thesis for ExxonMobil, Duke Energy, and NextEra Energy. Guyana production, refining margins, rate cases, and renewables.
Read post →Bank Earnings July 2026: JPM, BAC, WFC, C Dates, NIM, and What to Watch
Complete July 2026 bank earnings calendar with dates and trader thesis for JPMorgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup. NIM, IB fees, credit charge-offs, and consumer-credit reads.
Read post →Tech Earnings July 2026: MSFT, GOOGL, META, AAPL, TSLA, AMD, AVGO Dates & What to Watch
Complete July 2026 technology earnings calendar with dates, times, and trader thesis for Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Apple, Tesla, AMD, Intel, and Broadcom. AI capex, Azure growth, and FSD monetization.
Read post →Healthcare Earnings July 2026: JNJ, UNH, MRK, ABBV, PFE, BMY, LLY Dates & What to Watch
Complete July 2026 healthcare earnings calendar with dates, times, and trader thesis for Johnson & Johnson, UnitedHealth, Merck, AbbVie, Pfizer, Bristol Myers Squibb, and Eli Lilly.
Read post →July 2026 Earnings Calendar: Every Major Stock Reporting, Sector by Sector
The complete July 2026 earnings calendar: 130+ S&P 500 reports including JPM, JNJ, UNH, MSFT, GOOGL, META, TSLA, AAPL, LLY, and NVDA. Dates, what to watch, and trader thesis for every major ticker.
Read post →July 2026 Earnings Calendar: The Visual Guide to Every Major Q2 Report
A single-image July 2026 earnings calendar — week by week, before-open vs after-close, every megacap and S&P 500 heavyweight reporting Q2 2026 results.
Read post →Micron ($MU) Q3 FY2026 Earnings Recap: $41.5B Revenue, $50B Guide, HBM Squeeze Confirmed
Micron (MU) shattered Q3 FY2026 estimates with $41.46B revenue and $25.11 EPS, then guided Q4 to $50B and 86% gross margin. Full post-earnings breakdown for AI memory traders.
Read post →How to Trade with the Earnings Strength Score (ESS): A Complete Guide
A practical guide to trading with the Earnings Strength Score (ESS) — how the score blends analyst dispersion, implied moves, surprise history and momentum into one signal, and how to use it to find high-probability earnings setups.
Read post →Micron (MU) Q3 FY2026 Earnings Preview: The HBM Gatekeeper Reports — What It Means for NVDA, AMD & AI Capex
Micron reports Q3 FY2026 after the bell on June 24, 2026. HBM demand, gross margins and 2027 capex guidance will set the tone for NVDA, AMD, ASML, AMAT and every AI hyperscaler. Full preview, consensus, scenarios and price targets.
Read post →Iran War: "Finally Behind Us?" — Not Quite. Here's Why That Matters to Your Portfolio
Markets rallied on the US-Iran MOU, but the 14-point deal is a 60-day pause — not a settlement. Here's how to position energy, defense, rates and hedges through the August-September deadline.
Read post →Weekend Briefing — Week of Jun 16–18, 2026: Hawkish Fed, Iran Peace, and FedEx as the Next Test
Russell 2000 led the tape on a hawkish Fed and an Iran ceasefire while Accenture cratered. Here's the recap and the FedEx-and-PCE setup for the holiday-shortened week ahead.
Read post →The Warsh Era Begins: Why Today's Fed Decision Just Changed the Game for Stock Traders
Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting delivered a hawkish pivot: rates held at 3.5–3.75%, nine of 18 members now project a 2026 hike, and forward guidance is gone. Here's what it means for stock traders.
Read post →Top 20 Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades: June 2026 Revised Price Targets
A comprehensive roundup of the 20 biggest analyst moves in June 2026: 10 major upgrades led by semiconductor strength and enterprise software, and 10 key downgrades signaling valuation reality checks in cybersecurity, SaaS, and discretionary names.
Read post →Whisper Numbers vs. Consensus Estimates: What They Are and Why They Move Stocks
Whisper numbers are the buy-side's real expectations going into an earnings print — usually different from the published analyst consensus. Here's how they're built, why they often matter more than consensus, and how Earnings Compass surfaces a modern, AI-powered alternative.
Read post →The AI Semiconductor Earnings Playbook: How to Trade NVDA, AMD, AVGO and TSM
A trader's playbook for AI semiconductor earnings — reporting order, the numbers that move the group, hyperscaler capex read-throughs, and how to size NVDA, AMD, AVGO, TSM and the supply chain.
Read post →Fed Decision Wednesday: Will the New U.S.-Iran Peace Framework Clear the Path for Lower Rates?
A tentative U.S.-Iran peace framework has reset the inflation narrative going into Wednesday's FOMC. Three scenarios, the top 3 beneficiaries and bottom 3 casualties for each, and the indicators that actually matter.
Read post →Earnings This Week (June 16–20, 2026): CarMax, Kroger & What to Trade
CarMax, Kroger and Darden headline the week of June 16–20, 2026. Implied moves, options setups, and position sizing for active traders.
Read post →Why Friday Earnings Gaps Matter Less: What Retail Traders Need to Know
Friday earnings gaps run roughly 50% smaller than mid-week gaps. Here's why — thin options liquidity, absent institutions, weekend risk — and how to adjust position sizing and exits.
Read post →SpaceX IPO (SPCX): Historic $1.75T Debut and How to Trade Before September Earnings
SpaceX (SPCX) priced at $135 and popped 27% to $171.56 on debut, a $1.75T valuation against $4.28B Q1 losses. Here is how active traders should handle the 11-week wait until the first earnings call on September 2, 2026.
Read post →May CPI Just Shifted The Fed's Playbook: What It Means For Your Portfolio
May CPI delivered a split verdict: in-line headline, softer core. Here's what the print means for the Fed's next move, sector rotation, and H2 2026 earnings.
Read post →Meta (META) Q2 2026 Earnings Preview: What to Watch and How to Play It With Options
Meta reports Q2 2026 on Wed July 29 AMC. With the stock down ~10% from its highs on AI capex anxiety, we break down what to watch, three ways to play the print directionally, and a concrete options playbook with suggested strikes and expiries.
Read post →The AI Infrastructure Earnings Index: 25 Stocks Benefiting From Data Center Spending
A 25-stock AI infrastructure index covering power, cooling, fiber, electrical equipment, memory and silicon — the companies benefiting from data center spending beyond Nvidia, with earnings tells to watch.
Read post →Q1 2026 Earnings: Top 5 Winners & Bottom 5 Disasters
The stocks that shocked Wall Street in Q1 2026 — share price reactions, EPS surprises, and what brokers did to their targets after the dust settled.
Read post →Adobe (ADBE) Q2 FY2026 Earnings Preview: Will Firefly Finally Pay Off?
Adobe reports Q2 FY2026 on Wed June 11 AMC. Consensus EPS $5.83, revenue $6.46B, implied move ~8.7%. The whole trade hinges on Digital Media Net New ARR and the Firefly monetization story.
Read post →Market Concentration: When a Few Names Drive the Many
A handful of mega-cap stocks now drive most index returns. Here is what concentration means for risk, diversification, and how earnings season ripples through the whole market.
Read post →Tesla Earnings July 21, 2026: What to Watch in TSLA's Q2 Print
Preview of Tesla's July 21, 2026 earnings: delivery growth, auto gross margin ex-credits, Energy storage, FSD/robotaxi commentary, and the line items most likely to move the after-hours tape.
Read post →Alphabet Earnings July 21, 2026: What to Watch in GOOGL's Q2 Print
Preview of Alphabet's July 21, 2026 earnings: Search revenue under AI pressure, Google Cloud growth, YouTube ads, and the capex line that will set the AI capex tone for the season.
Read post →Oracle Earnings June 10, 2026: What to Watch in ORCL's Print
Preview of Oracle's June 10, 2026 earnings: OCI growth, RPO backlog, AI infrastructure capex, and the cloud-margin question that will set the after-hours move.
Read post →Are the Magnificent Seven Still Market Leadership in 2026?
The Mag 7 trade has fractured — some names are extending the run, others are quietly underperforming. Here's how to think about each one heading into the back half of 2026.
Read post →Bitcoin vs. Stocks in 2026: Allocation, Correlation, and the ETF Era
Bitcoin has matured from a fringe asset to a portfolio building block. Here's how it correlates with stocks today, what allocation makes sense, and how the spot ETFs have changed the trade.
Read post →Fed Rate Cuts in 2026: A Sector Playbook for Each Scenario
Three rate-path scenarios for the rest of 2026 and the sector winners and losers in each — from long-duration tech to financials, REITs, and small caps.
Read post →Nvidia Earnings: What to Watch in the Next Print
Nvidia's quarterly print sets the tone for the entire AI complex. Here's the checklist — data center revenue, China exposure, Blackwell ramp, and the guide — that actually moves the stock.
Read post →The AI Capex Cycle: Who Wins, Who Pays, and What Earnings Season Will Reveal
Hyperscaler AI capex is the largest sustained investment cycle since the smartphone build-out. Here's how to read each earnings season for the next phase of winners.
Read post →Stocks vs. Property: Which Is the Better Investment in 2026?
A clear-eyed comparison of stocks vs. property investing in 2026 — returns, liquidity, leverage, tax, and the lifestyle trade-offs retail investors actually have to make.
Read post →How Earnings Compass Helps You Trade Earnings Season Better
A behind-the-scenes look at how Earnings Compass aggregates the earnings calendar, whisper numbers, implied moves, and AI summaries into one workflow built for active traders.
Read post →How an Iran War Could Hit Stocks: Sectors, Scenarios, and Risk Management
If the Iran conflict escalates into a wider war, expect an oil spike, defensive rotation, and a flight-to-quality bid. Here's the sector-by-sector impact and how to manage the risk.
Read post →Investment Strategy for 2026: Positioning Around Earnings, Rates, and AI Capex
A practical 2026 investment strategy for retail traders: how to weight earnings catalysts, rate-cut timing, and the AI capex cycle when building a quarterly playbook.
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